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“Radical innovation never originates with the market leader” — Jim Utterback, MIT

Did you know Mitch Kapor tried to license 1-2-3 to IBM for $3,5-million in the 1980s? They told him that hardware was a multibillion-dollar industry, and that the market for PC software was only a $50-million industry. IBM later bought Kapor’s Lotus Development Corporation for $3,5-billion.

The point is that IBM missed a fundamental paradigm shift.

Another example: in the late 1800s, the chairperson of Western Union said: “Many of our stockholders have asked me about this new invention by Alexander Graham Bell called the telephone. While we think it’s an interesting curiosity, there’s never going to be a market for that technology, and therefore we have declined the offer to take a licence.”

Or this quote attributed to Napoleon: “What, sir, you mean to tell me that by lighting a bonfire under the deck of a ship, you can make it sail against the wind and the currents? I pray you, excuse me. I have no time for such nonsense.” He then kicked Robert Fulton, the inventor of the steamship, out of his office.

Thomas Edison is an example of someone who started out smart, but later became a market leader. When Edison first invented the light bulb, he invited the press to a demonstration. The market leaders then were the gas companies, selling gas to illuminate streets and homes. One company felt so threatened that it hired an electrician to sabotage the demo. He carried a hidden wire tucked under his sleeve, around his back and out the other sleeve. During the demo he shorted the wire across one of the lightbulbs, in order to cause a short-circuit and turn off the lights.

However, Edison placed a fuse on every fourth light bulb, so only four of the light bulbs went out and the others remained on. There was enough light to see what was going on and they caught the saboteur!

However, 25 years later Edison was the new market leader. An entrepreneur called George Westinghouse was working with Nikola Tesla to promote Tesla’s new AC power innovation, which was better for carrying high voltages over longer distances. Edison did everything in his power to sabotage Westinghouse and Tesla. He electrocuted an elephant to create the image that AC was extremely dangerous. He even helped Westinghouse get its first customer: The New York state legislature bought an AC generator to electrocute felons instead of hanging them.

Edison is remembered as one of the most innovative people in the world. But when he became the market leader, his mindset changed and he resisted radical innovations rather than adopting them.

Anyways, Tesla showed that AC was safe by passing it through himself to power a light bulb.




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8 Responses to “Why market leaders don’t innovate”

Great post!

But I think that market leaders, today, have no choice but innovate. If they don’t they’ll be toast in no time.

And I think they know it.

And those that aren’t market leaders (yet) know that it is only through lightning speed innovation, and standing on the shoulders of giants, that they can take that spot.

(Report abuse)

Eve Dmochowska on May 22nd, 2008 at 2:35 pm

“But may I respectfully point out that there has been no case in history where the pioneer became the dominant producer, whether you are talking about a business or a science. The most successful innovators are the creative imitators, the Number Two.”

“Edison didn’t invent the lightbulb. That’s an American myth.

The man who invented the lightbulb was an English physicist. Actually, there were about five or six people working on the lightbulb at the same time.”

from:
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/4.08/drucker_pr.html

(Report abuse)

Joe on May 22nd, 2008 at 7:56 pm

Great piece, but what happened to the conclusion? Is it supposed to leave us hanging? Was that your intention? Part of your cunning plan to have us consider the point ourselves?

I feel like I’ve been left hanging waiting for the words of wisdom, even something as simple as “Are you a market leader or an innovator? Are you trying to be both?”

Nice article, I’ll pop this new blog of yours onto my feedreader Henk! :)

(Report abuse)

Callum on May 23rd, 2008 at 3:02 am

Hey Callum,

Yes, it was meant to leave you hanging. However, the TechLeader sub-editor took out my “leave you hanging” ellipses.

So here it is again:

Sorry about that.

(Report abuse)

Henk Kleynhans on May 23rd, 2008 at 8:43 am

Joe,

Although I believe there’s a special place in hell for people who electrocute live animals, I think Edison is rightly credited for the light bulb, at least the ‘long-lasting’ one!

But yeah, I agree, Pioneers get the arrows, settlers get the land!

(Report abuse)

Henk Kleynhans on May 23rd, 2008 at 9:37 am

@Joe

Those quotes from Mr Drucker that you mention were uttered in 1995.. a time when he felt comfortable enough to also mention that the “computer industry, as an industry, hasn’t made a dime?”

I think a lot has changed since then, not only in the computer industry ;-), but in the whole methodology of how companies approach innovation.

Hence, I do think that situations can exist where pioneers become the dominant producers.

Moreover, I have a gut feeling that Drucker was wrong. I am sure that there are pioneers=dominant producers case scenarios in pre-1995 history. Medicine is the field where I would start to research this, but there must be countless more examples.

(Report abuse)

Eve Dmochowska on May 23rd, 2008 at 9:52 am

Seth Godin has written a lot about people’s and organisations’ resistance to change and innovation. He’s discusssed how innovators become market leaders by changing the game, but then try to maintain the status quo, even in the face of evidence that this is a mistake (e.g. the big record labels over the last 10-15 years).

As to why we do this, I attended a talk yesterday by Nicola Tyler who specialises in Edward de Bono’s ideas of lateral thinking. That it’s natural to stick with the familiar and resist new stimuli isn’t surprising. What’s fascinating is the methods and techniques he’s developed that can help us avoid these pitfalls.

Very interesting stuff, thanks for the post!

(Report abuse)

Jonno Cohen on May 23rd, 2008 at 1:28 pm

This is a great post Henk…really enjoyed it. Google have found a way around this via their 10% rule where employees can explore their own ventures: resulted in Google News, Gmail, Orkut and others….

(Report abuse)

Matthew Buckland on May 23rd, 2008 at 3:15 pm

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Henk is a Computer Scientist and Internet Junkie turned Social Entrepreneur. He heads up Skyrove, Africa's largest WiFi Sharing Community. He's managed to drop out of both Med School and Mensa and in his free time he likes yapping about how solar powered robot slaves are the 'next big thing'.
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