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I’m in the middle of a book called Freakonomics and, as usual, when reading something that interests me, I tend to apply what the author is discussing to what’s relevant in my everyday life. One of the key points in the book refers to asking the right questions. Someone who can ask really good questions can come up with some interesting suppositions. I’m not going to try and beat or even equal the questions in Freakonomics, but will apply some questions to our local on-line advertising industry. Let’s go with the following;

Why is the internet advertising spend in South Africa is one sixth that of Switzerland or even Belgium, when we share similar audience sizes? Why do brand marketers keep telling me that on-line reach in SA tiny?

To keep you reading, according to Zenith research in 2007 there were five and half million internet users in Belgium and annual online advertising revenues of two hundred and thirty six million US dollars. Compare that with our five million users and thirty million US dollars. Similar comparisons can be shown for Portugal, Greece, Norway, Finland and many more…

For part one, I will address the question of online reach. The answer is both simple and two fold: A lack of education and not enough fear! So many marketers in South Africa are clueless. Would you believe that nine and a half out of ten marketing people I speak to have no idea how many taxpaying South Africans SARS has on its books? But they will happily tell you that there are 48 million, or so, South Africans. This is the number they think about when they plan their businesses and their sales forecast. Problem? They are in the business of selling products that only someone earning more than R5,000 could ever afford.

What does this tell us? Simple: That these people are basing their business on the premise that the economically active audience in SA is many times larger than it is. Bad news folks — it’s not. The number is in fact 4.6 million tax payers. So if you add back in people evading Trevor Manuel’s effective collections, the youth and the elderly population, I would doubt that the upper income marketplace is much more than 7 million.

So what’s my point? Simple, so many people in marketing jobs in South Africa are out of touch with the actual size of their potential market, and if this is the case, how can one expect them to understand the value of the internet medium fully. It is far easier to jump on the “internet reach is small” bandwagon than to invest time in learning to this tackle this new medium and to make it work for them. As the cliché goes, “no one was ever fired for running a TV campaign”.

I’m not here just to criticise our marketers however, in fact I believe that South Africa boasts many seriously switched on marketers who get snatched up whenever they venture beyond our borders, it’s just that the fear of being left behind in the on-line world has not hit SA like it has in many other markets, so our people have not felt the need to invest more energy in their own upskilling. I bet that if they got a sneak peak at the numbers and business success of local companies in SA who truly are using the internet medium properly, they would be rushing out to buy every book and attend every conference on they could.

[Now for a quick plug; If you want education and don’t know where to start just drop Theresa at the (online publishers association) OPA a mail and she’ll get you started tvitale@opa.org.za.]

I’m not one to fall prey to hysteria or panic, but I will admit to feeling at a loss every time I am in Europe and get exposed to how far behind we often are when it comes to the use of the on-line medium, that fear drives me to learn more quickly.

My closing point to question one? Simple. Our internet market is in fact big, so the only reason the adoption rate amongst advertisers is relatively low is a lack of fear, a resultant apathy and therefore lack of education. But I tell you what, the medium is here, the tools and the education are readily available and it is only a matter of time before a CEO realises that spending fifty grand on thirty seconds of airtime seen by only a fraction of his potential market is madness. Maybe then he will fire the clueless employee who spent his money!

More to come! We still have the first question to answer…




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4 Responses to “Freakonomics local style: Part one”

Well put Adrian! The sooner our marketers realise that online is not only highly effective but also minimises spend wastage, the sooner we can grow our local industry and compete with the international market

(Report abuse)

Katherine on June 11th, 2008 at 10:18 am

I completely agree. I think there is a strong case of “ignorance is bliss” and I feel the SA online market is an untapped potential. I feel the starting point to answer to these questions is to first ensure we have a internationally competitive and affordable internet service in our country.

(Report abuse)

Greg Mason on June 11th, 2008 at 10:19 am

you’re right here in Senegal, we encounter the same objections from marketing professionals. Yet marketing & online advertising, can learn more about its prospects to initiate discussion with them and retain them at lower cost. from there everything becomes possible, win a new customer is often a lengthy process & costly, while knowing perfectly the expectations of its customers can increase its “share of customer” without limit! the Internet is the perfect tool to reach many people and then discuss with each of them in a personalized way!
But I think we’re on the right path, in fact the number of connected on the continent is increasing, we will arrive soon at inflection point that the switch uses, and will show the need and reliability of industry online. :-)

(Report abuse)

Olivier Ongotha on June 21st, 2008 at 4:31 pm

Not understanding the market is definitely one of the problems, as well as not understanding the medium and it’s potential.

I think though the comparison is not equal based on the fact that though the market might have a similar size to the examples quoted, their spending power may differ drastically.

Secondly, and I’m sorry to blame it on Bandwidth, we are very behind in terms of the uptake of more advanced web usage due to bandwidth issues as well. Some things people are doing with ease and speed in other parts of the world would work out a little more expensive here.

I lived in cairo recently, and was amazed that more people in much lower income brackets are using the web for general things like ordering takeaways even. They have free dialup and very low cost adsl which makes a big difference for the small business who wants to leverage these technologies to add value to their business.

(Report abuse)

nomad-one on June 26th, 2008 at 2:11 pm

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Adrian Hewlett is a graduate of UCT and is currently the chairman of South Africa's On-line Publishers Association (OPA). His day job consists of running Habari Media, South Africa's leading new media sales house. Habari exclusively represents MSN's network, Sharenet and Careerjunction to name a few and runs offices in all major SA centres, Lagos, Dakar and Maputo. Having previously launched www.Lodgestaff.com , the latest on-line business incubated through Habari is leading financial comparison site www.Justmoney.co.za Adrian is passionate about growing the on-line industry and believes 2008 is going to be a major turning point for the industry following similar tipping points in Europe three years ago.
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